Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters Elon Musk's April 2026 X posts around 1360-1440 (top bins at 9.6-10.7% implied probability), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from recent March pacing and resolved weekly markets like February 17-24 (360-379 tweets). As X's owner and pop culture lightning rod, Musk sustains high-volume engagement via viral commentary on Tesla FSD Europe rollout, Grok speedups, Model Y sales dominance, and political swipes, mirroring March's frontrunning 1320-1399 range. The close contest reflects daily fluctuations from news spikes—SpaceX launches or AI announcements could push higher—or quieter periods, with April's full 30 days amplifying uncertainty in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado1400-1439 10.6%
1360-1399 9.6%
1320-1359 8.5%
1440-1479 8.3%
$4,378,973 Vol.
$4,378,973 Vol.
May 1, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
10%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
1400-1439 10.6%
1360-1399 9.6%
1320-1359 8.5%
1440-1479 8.3%
$4,378,973 Vol.
$4,378,973 Vol.
May 1, 2026
<20
$111,370 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$0 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$33,110 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$0 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$0 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$21,284 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$0 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$0 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$34,069 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$35,773 Vol.
<1%
200-219
$0 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$0 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$39,845 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$22,229 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$65,395 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$28,425 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$23,116 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$29,954 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$30,923 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$34,519 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$19,500 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$14,643 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$26,728 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$11,236 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$18,091 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$85,626 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$58,679 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$55,060 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$67,529 Vol.
<1%
580-599
$72,001 Vol.
<1%
600-619
$58,371 Vol.
<1%
620-639
$88,863 Vol.
<1%
640-659
$79,742 Vol.
<1%
660-679
$119,066 Vol.
<1%
680-699
$28,440 Vol.
<1%
700-719
$48,870 Vol.
<1%
720-739
$38,050 Vol.
<1%
740-759
$8,786 Vol.
<1%
760-779
$27,920 Vol.
<1%
780-799
$33,145 Vol.
<1%
800-839
$20,034 Vol.
1%
840-879
$21,142 Vol.
<1%
880-919
$129,069 Vol.
1%
920-959
$38,671 Vol.
2%
960-999
$27,701 Vol.
1%
1000-1039
$28,193 Vol.
1%
1040-1079
$81,091 Vol.
2%
1080-1119
$52,621 Vol.
3%
1120-1159
$102,648 Vol.
3%
1160-1199
$262,339 Vol.
4%
1200-1239
$156,478 Vol.
6%
1240-1279
$74,372 Vol.
6%
1280-1319
$158,805 Vol.
8%
1320-1359
$229,305 Vol.
9%
1360-1399
$206,280 Vol.
10%
1400-1439
$510,942 Vol.
11%
1440-1479
$74,160 Vol.
8%
1480-1519
$65,720 Vol.
7%
1520-1559
$82,171 Vol.
6%
1560-1599
$102,108 Vol.
6%
1600-1679
$97,034 Vol.
2%
1680-1759
$135,251 Vol.
2%
1760-1839
$92,477 Vol.
2%
1840-1919
$137,502 Vol.
3%
1920-1999
$11,219 Vol.
2%
2000+
$11,282 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters Elon Musk's April 2026 X posts around 1360-1440 (top bins at 9.6-10.7% implied probability), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from recent March pacing and resolved weekly markets like February 17-24 (360-379 tweets). As X's owner and pop culture lightning rod, Musk sustains high-volume engagement via viral commentary on Tesla FSD Europe rollout, Grok speedups, Model Y sales dominance, and political swipes, mirroring March's frontrunning 1320-1399 range. The close contest reflects daily fluctuations from news spikes—SpaceX launches or AI announcements could push higher—or quieter periods, with April's full 30 days amplifying uncertainty in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$4,378,973Fecha de finalización
May 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters Elon Musk's April 2026 X posts around 1360-1440 (top bins at 9.6-10.7% implied probability), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from recent March pacing and resolved weekly markets like February 17-24 (360-379 tweets). As X's owner and pop culture lightning rod, Musk sustains high-volume engagement via viral commentary on Tesla FSD Europe rollout, Grok speedups, Model Y sales dominance, and political swipes, mirroring March's frontrunning 1320-1399 range. The close contest reflects daily fluctuations from news spikes—SpaceX launches or AI announcements could push higher—or quieter periods, with April's full 30 days amplifying uncertainty in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,378,973Fecha de finalización
May 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters Elon Musk's April 2026 X posts around 1360-1440 (top bins at 9.6-10.7% implied probability), extrapolating his consistent 40-50 posts per day from recent March pacing and resolved weekly markets like February 17-24 (360-379 tweets). As X's owner and pop culture lightning rod, Musk sustains high-volume engagement via viral commentary on Tesla FSD Europe rollout, Grok speedups, Model Y sales dominance, and political swipes, mirroring March's frontrunning 1320-1399 range. The close contest reflects daily fluctuations from news spikes—SpaceX launches or AI announcements could push higher—or quieter periods, with April's full 30 days amplifying uncertainty in this skin-in-the-game sentiment gauge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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