Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions propelled Dated Brent crude to $141 per barrel on April 2—nearing its 2008 all-time high of $147.50—driving WTI futures to $111.54 amid supply shock fears equivalent to 10 million bpd offline. Yet Polymarket traders' 77% implied probability on "No" reflects countervailing forces: OPEC+ eight nations initiating 206,000 bpd production hikes this month, with phased restoration of 1.65 million bpd through year-end, alongside EIA forecasts of U.S. output averaging 13.6 million bpd. IEA highlights near-term supply crunches but anticipates global surpluses, tempering upside. Key catalysts include weekend OPEC+ deliberations on further quotas and Iran ceasefire prospects, with 25 days left demanding a 30% rally for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCrude Oil all time high by April 30?
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
$56,674 Vol.
$56,674 Vol.
30 abr 2026
$56,674 Vol.
$56,674 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions propelled Dated Brent crude to $141 per barrel on April 2—nearing its 2008 all-time high of $147.50—driving WTI futures to $111.54 amid supply shock fears equivalent to 10 million bpd offline. Yet Polymarket traders' 77% implied probability on "No" reflects countervailing forces: OPEC+ eight nations initiating 206,000 bpd production hikes this month, with phased restoration of 1.65 million bpd through year-end, alongside EIA forecasts of U.S. output averaging 13.6 million bpd. IEA highlights near-term supply crunches but anticipates global surpluses, tempering upside. Key catalysts include weekend OPEC+ deliberations on further quotas and Iran ceasefire prospects, with 25 days left demanding a 30% rally for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$56,674Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions propelled Dated Brent crude to $141 per barrel on April 2—nearing its 2008 all-time high of $147.50—driving WTI futures to $111.54 amid supply shock fears equivalent to 10 million bpd offline. Yet Polymarket traders' 77% implied probability on "No" reflects countervailing forces: OPEC+ eight nations initiating 206,000 bpd production hikes this month, with phased restoration of 1.65 million bpd through year-end, alongside EIA forecasts of U.S. output averaging 13.6 million bpd. IEA highlights near-term supply crunches but anticipates global surpluses, tempering upside. Key catalysts include weekend OPEC+ deliberations on further quotas and Iran ceasefire prospects, with 25 days left demanding a 30% rally for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$56,674Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions propelled Dated Brent crude to $141 per barrel on April 2—nearing its 2008 all-time high of $147.50—driving WTI futures to $111.54 amid supply shock fears equivalent to 10 million bpd offline. Yet Polymarket traders' 77% implied probability on "No" reflects countervailing forces: OPEC+ eight nations initiating 206,000 bpd production hikes this month, with phased restoration of 1.65 million bpd through year-end, alongside EIA forecasts of U.S. output averaging 13.6 million bpd. IEA highlights near-term supply crunches but anticipates global surpluses, tempering upside. Key catalysts include weekend OPEC+ deliberations on further quotas and Iran ceasefire prospects, with 25 days left demanding a 30% rally for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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