Market icon

Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$15,603 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$15,603
Fecha de finalización
Jul 5, 2024
Creado en
Jun 27, 2024, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" has generated $15.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 27, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$15,603 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$15,603
Fecha de finalización
Jul 5, 2024
Creado en
Jun 27, 2024, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's national polling in the US general elections as reported by FiveThirtyEight for the day of July 4, 2024 is greater than the number it reports for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election polls aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/, specifically the number indicated by the blue trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve according to the datapoints for June 27 and July 4 as soon as a datapoint for July 5 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the July 5 datapoint is available. If no datapoint for July 4 is available by July 7, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to July 4. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" has generated $15.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 27, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.