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Política·Primarias

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Política·Primarias

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Dees 39%

Jerry Carl 39%

John Mills 39%

Rhett Marques 38%

Polymarket
NEW

$18,527 Vol.

James Dees 39%

Jerry Carl 39%

John Mills 39%

Rhett Marques 38%

Polymarket
NEW

$18,527 Vol.

James Dees

$0 Vol.

39%

Jerry Carl

$0 Vol.

39%

John Mills

$14,754 Vol.

39%

Rhett Marques

$0 Vol.

38%

Joshua McKee

$0 Vol.

26%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 Vol.

16%

James Richardson

$5,174 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on March 5, trader consensus clusters around incumbent Jerry Carl (39.5%) and challengers James Dees, Rhett Marques, and John Mills (all 39%), reflecting a fragmented eight-candidate field with no decisive frontrunner after sparse polling, the latest from late January showing Carl's modest lead eroding amid low name recognition. Carl's incumbency, NRA endorsement, and fundraising edge—over $300,000 cash-on-hand per recent FEC filings—offset challenger attacks on his bipartisan votes, but split anti-incumbent support keeps probabilities tight. Absent major catalysts like a Trump endorsement or pre-primary poll, early voting starting February 26 could tip dynamics toward a top-two runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$18,527
Fecha de finalización
May 19, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on March 5, trader consensus clusters around incumbent Jerry Carl (39.5%) and challengers James Dees, Rhett Marques, and John Mills (all 39%), reflecting a fragmented eight-candidate field with no decisive frontrunner after sparse polling, the latest from late January showing Carl's modest lead eroding amid low name recognition. Carl's incumbency, NRA endorsement, and fundraising edge—over $300,000 cash-on-hand per recent FEC filings—offset challenger attacks on his bipartisan votes, but split anti-incumbent support keeps probabilities tight. Absent major catalysts like a Trump endorsement or pre-primary poll, early voting starting February 26 could tip dynamics toward a top-two runoff.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on March 5, trader consensus clusters around incumbent Jerry Carl (39.5%) and challengers James Dees, Rhett Marques, and John Mills (all 39%), reflecting a fragmented eight-candidate field with no decisive frontrunner after sparse polling, the latest from late January showing Carl's modest lead eroding amid low name recognition. Carl's incumbency, NRA endorsement, and fundraising edge—over $300,000 cash-on-hand per recent FEC filings—offset challenger attacks on his bipartisan votes, but split anti-incumbent support keeps probabilities tight. Absent major catalysts like a Trump endorsement or pre-primary poll, early voting starting February 26 could tip dynamics toward a top-two runoff.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "James Dees" con 39%, seguido de "Jerry Carl" con 39%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" ha generado $18.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" es "James Dees" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jerry Carl" con 39%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.