Polymarket traders assign nearly even implied probabilities to Alphabet (49.5%) and Apple (48.5%) as the second-largest company by market cap at March's end, reflecting a fierce contest behind Microsoft's unchallenged lead around $3.1 trillion. Alphabet's edge stems from a 15% March stock surge fueled by robust Google Cloud revenue growth (up 28% YoY in Q4) and AI advancements like Gemini, narrowing the gap from Apple's early-quarter dominance. Apple contends with softer iPhone demand in China and regulatory pressures, tempering its gains despite services strength. Nvidia's blistering AI chip rally faltered late-month, capping it at 0.4% odds, while others lag far behind; final March 31 closing prices will resolve this razor-thin trader consensus amid volatile tech sector dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoApple 50%
Alphabet 50%
NVIDIA <1%
Microsoft <1%
$2,003,391 Vol.
$2,003,391 Vol.

Apple
50%

Alphabet
50%

NVIDIA
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Apple 50%
Alphabet 50%
NVIDIA <1%
Microsoft <1%
$2,003,391 Vol.
$2,003,391 Vol.

Apple
50%

Alphabet
50%

NVIDIA
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign nearly even implied probabilities to Alphabet (49.5%) and Apple (48.5%) as the second-largest company by market cap at March's end, reflecting a fierce contest behind Microsoft's unchallenged lead around $3.1 trillion. Alphabet's edge stems from a 15% March stock surge fueled by robust Google Cloud revenue growth (up 28% YoY in Q4) and AI advancements like Gemini, narrowing the gap from Apple's early-quarter dominance. Apple contends with softer iPhone demand in China and regulatory pressures, tempering its gains despite services strength. Nvidia's blistering AI chip rally faltered late-month, capping it at 0.4% odds, while others lag far behind; final March 31 closing prices will resolve this razor-thin trader consensus amid volatile tech sector dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes