Market icon

¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?

Market icon

¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?

Apple 50%

Alphabet 50%

NVIDIA <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$2,003,391 Vol.

Apple 50%

Alphabet 50%

NVIDIA <1%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$2,003,391 Vol.

Market icon

Apple

$265,017 Vol.

50%

Market icon

Alphabet

$243,739 Vol.

50%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$159,684 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Microsoft

$175,524 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$175,870 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tesla

$760,448 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$223,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,003,391
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket traders assign nearly even implied probabilities to Alphabet (49.5%) and Apple (48.5%) as the second-largest company by market cap at March's end, reflecting a fierce contest behind Microsoft's unchallenged lead around $3.1 trillion. Alphabet's edge stems from a 15% March stock surge fueled by robust Google Cloud revenue growth (up 28% YoY in Q4) and AI advancements like Gemini, narrowing the gap from Apple's early-quarter dominance. Apple contends with softer iPhone demand in China and regulatory pressures, tempering its gains despite services strength. Nvidia's blistering AI chip rally faltered late-month, capping it at 0.4% odds, while others lag far behind; final March 31 closing prices will resolve this razor-thin trader consensus amid volatile tech sector dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Apple" con 50%, seguido de "Alphabet" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?" ha generado $2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?" es "Apple" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alphabet" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La segunda empresa más grande a finales de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.