Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026 (99.7% implied probability), reflecting the fintech prime brokerage's silence on public market plans amid a dormant IPO environment for digital asset firms. Clear Street, known for its cloud-native platform serving institutional equities and crypto trading, last raised $165 million in a 2022 Series B at $1.75 billion valuation, with no S-1 filing, banker hires, or roadshow signals since. High interest rates, volatile crypto regulations, and broader fintech delays—exemplified by peers like Chime and Stripe postponing listings—cement this positioning. Realistic challenges include an abrupt SEC registration, crypto market surge, or favorable policy shifts like clearer CFTC oversight, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026 99.6%
$11.0B–$11.5B <1%
12,0 mil millones+ <1%
9,0 mil millones–9,5 mil millones <1%
$52,472 Vol.
$52,472 Vol.
<9,0B
<1%
9,0 mil millones–9,5 mil millones
<1%
9,5B–10,0B
<1%
10.0 mil millones–10.5 mil millones
<1%
10.5B–11.0B
<1%
$11.0B–$11.5B
<1%
$11.5 mil millones–$12.0 mil millones
<1%
12,0 mil millones+
<1%
No saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026
100%
No saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026 99.6%
$11.0B–$11.5B <1%
12,0 mil millones+ <1%
9,0 mil millones–9,5 mil millones <1%
$52,472 Vol.
$52,472 Vol.
<9,0B
<1%
9,0 mil millones–9,5 mil millones
<1%
9,5B–10,0B
<1%
10.0 mil millones–10.5 mil millones
<1%
10.5B–11.0B
<1%
$11.0B–$11.5B
<1%
$11.5 mil millones–$12.0 mil millones
<1%
12,0 mil millones+
<1%
No saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026
100%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026 (99.7% implied probability), reflecting the fintech prime brokerage's silence on public market plans amid a dormant IPO environment for digital asset firms. Clear Street, known for its cloud-native platform serving institutional equities and crypto trading, last raised $165 million in a 2022 Series B at $1.75 billion valuation, with no S-1 filing, banker hires, or roadshow signals since. High interest rates, volatile crypto regulations, and broader fintech delays—exemplified by peers like Chime and Stripe postponing listings—cement this positioning. Realistic challenges include an abrupt SEC registration, crypto market surge, or favorable policy shifts like clearer CFTC oversight, though none appear imminent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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