Official results from the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on March 5, 2024, confirm turnout exceeded 2 million votes, with Colin Allred securing 1.39 million (58.8%) in a dominant victory that avoided a runoff. This tally, reported by the Texas Secretary of State and reflected in county canvasses, drives trader consensus to near-certainty on the 2.0M+ outcome, fueled by robust early voting participation—over 1.2 million ballots—and heightened interest in challenging Republican incumbent Ted Cruz. Factors include strong mobilization by Allred's campaign and competitive field dynamics boosting overall engagement. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to potential post-certification audits or recounts, though no disputes have emerged amid finalized statewide totals around 2.36 million.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2,0 Mio.+ 100.0%
<1,0 Mio. <1%
1,0–1,25 Mio. <1%
1,25–1,5 Mio. <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<1,0 Mio.
Nein
1,0–1,25 Mio.
Nein
1,25–1,5 Mio.
Nein
1,5–1,75 Mio.
Nein
1,75–2,0 Mio.
Nein
2,0 Mio.+
Ja
2,0 Mio.+ 100.0%
<1,0 Mio. <1%
1,0–1,25 Mio. <1%
1,25–1,5 Mio. <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<1,0 Mio.
Nein
1,0–1,25 Mio.
Nein
1,25–1,5 Mio.
Nein
1,5–1,75 Mio.
Nein
1,75–2,0 Mio.
Nein
2,0 Mio.+
Ja
This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Democratic Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 4, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Official results from the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on March 5, 2024, confirm turnout exceeded 2 million votes, with Colin Allred securing 1.39 million (58.8%) in a dominant victory that avoided a runoff. This tally, reported by the Texas Secretary of State and reflected in county canvasses, drives trader consensus to near-certainty on the 2.0M+ outcome, fueled by robust early voting participation—over 1.2 million ballots—and heightened interest in challenging Republican incumbent Ted Cruz. Factors include strong mobilization by Allred's campaign and competitive field dynamics boosting overall engagement. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to potential post-certification audits or recounts, though no disputes have emerged amid finalized statewide totals around 2.36 million.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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