U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by a mid-March Emerson College/KELO poll showing him at 28% among likely GOP primary voters, ahead of Toby Doeden (18%), incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%), and House Speaker Jon Hansen (14%), with 23% undecided. Johnson's edge stems from strong support among voters under 40 and women, while Rhoden's 35% approval rating reflects baggage from predecessor Kristi Noem's resignation to join the Trump administration amid scrutiny. Doeden's second-place surge positions him for a potential runoff if no candidate exceeds the 35% threshold, highlighting the crowded field's volatility ahead of the nomination.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDusty Johnson 51%
Toby Doeden 34%
Larry Rhoden 9%
Jon Hansen <1%
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
Dusty Johnson
51%
Toby Doeden
34%
Larry Rhoden
9%
Jon Hansen
1%
Dusty Johnson 51%
Toby Doeden 34%
Larry Rhoden 9%
Jon Hansen <1%
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
Dusty Johnson
51%
Toby Doeden
34%
Larry Rhoden
9%
Jon Hansen
1%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson leads trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by a mid-March Emerson College/KELO poll showing him at 28% among likely GOP primary voters, ahead of Toby Doeden (18%), incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden (17%), and House Speaker Jon Hansen (14%), with 23% undecided. Johnson's edge stems from strong support among voters under 40 and women, while Rhoden's 35% approval rating reflects baggage from predecessor Kristi Noem's resignation to join the Trump administration amid scrutiny. Doeden's second-place surge positions him for a potential runoff if no candidate exceeds the 35% threshold, highlighting the crowded field's volatility ahead of the nomination.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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