Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast for Toronto's March 26 high temperature clustering tightly around 11–13°C (market-implied odds favoring 11°C at 29.5%, 12°C at 24.8%), driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into southern Ontario. Ensemble model runs from GEM and GFS show minimal spread, with mean projections near 12°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, though slight differences arise from cloud cover timing and urban heat island effects amplifying readings at Pearson International Airport, the likely measurement site. Historical March averages hover at 7–9°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth from current El Niño-influenced patterns; new hourly forecasts expected early March 26 could refine this narrow uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 26. März?
11°C 27%
10°C 25.9%
12°C 22.3%
13°C 17%
$74,216 Vol.
$74,216 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
22%
13°C
17%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
11°C 27%
10°C 25.9%
12°C 22.3%
13°C 17%
$74,216 Vol.
$74,216 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
22%
13°C
17%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast for Toronto's March 26 high temperature clustering tightly around 11–13°C (market-implied odds favoring 11°C at 29.5%, 12°C at 24.8%), driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow into southern Ontario. Ensemble model runs from GEM and GFS show minimal spread, with mean projections near 12°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, though slight differences arise from cloud cover timing and urban heat island effects amplifying readings at Pearson International Airport, the likely measurement site. Historical March averages hover at 7–9°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth from current El Niño-influenced patterns; new hourly forecasts expected early March 26 could refine this narrow uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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