Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (33%) and 22°C (30%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 19, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 21-22°C amid a mild Mediterranean high-pressure ridge. Recent model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a slight cooling trend from earlier 23°C projections, due to increased cloud cover and a weak southerly flow moderating daytime heating. Differentiating factors include minor ensemble spreads—ECMWF leaning 21.5°C versus GFS at 22°C—and local sea breeze effects peaking mid-afternoon at Ben Gurion Airport's measurement station. Historical March norms (19-21°C) support these odds, with low-probability tails reflecting rare wind shifts or inversions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 19. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 19. März?
21°C 34%
22°C 30%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
$32,059 Vol.
$32,059 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
20%
21°C
34%
22°C
30%
23°C
13%
24°C
3%
25°C oder höher
2%
21°C 34%
22°C 30%
20°C 20%
23°C 13%
$32,059 Vol.
$32,059 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
20%
21°C
34%
22°C
30%
23°C
13%
24°C
3%
25°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 15, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (33%) and 22°C (30%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 19, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 21-22°C amid a mild Mediterranean high-pressure ridge. Recent model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a slight cooling trend from earlier 23°C projections, due to increased cloud cover and a weak southerly flow moderating daytime heating. Differentiating factors include minor ensemble spreads—ECMWF leaning 21.5°C versus GFS at 22°C—and local sea breeze effects peaking mid-afternoon at Ben Gurion Airport's measurement station. Historical March norms (19-21°C) support these odds, with low-probability tails reflecting rare wind shifts or inversions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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