Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Miami on March 26 at 100% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming a peak of 83°F amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Short-range forecast models from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on highs in the low 80s ahead of the date, aligning with climatological norms for late March—averaging 79-82°F—following a recent cool front that suppressed instability. While data revisions from quality control are possible but rare (occurring in <1% of cases per NWS protocols), a sustained measurement error or station malfunction could prompt recalculation, though current validations show no anomalies. Next NWS daily summary expected to affirm this reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 26. März?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F oder weniger <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,304 Vol.
$81,304 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Ja
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90°F oder höher
Nein
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F oder weniger <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,304 Vol.
$81,304 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
Nein
72-73°F
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Ja
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F as the highest temperature in Miami on March 26 at 100% implied probability, driven by official National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming a peak of 83°F amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping daytime heating. Short-range forecast models from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts converged on highs in the low 80s ahead of the date, aligning with climatological norms for late March—averaging 79-82°F—following a recent cool front that suppressed instability. While data revisions from quality control are possible but rare (occurring in <1% of cases per NWS protocols), a sustained measurement error or station malfunction could prompt recalculation, though current validations show no anomalies. Next NWS daily summary expected to affirm this reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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