Latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 35–36°C in Lucknow on March 26, driving trader consensus with 40% implied probability for exactly 35°C and 32.5% for 36°C amid persistent clear skies and a continental tropical air mass favoring intense daytime heating. Observations from March 24 (33.2°C high) and preliminary March 25 data (~34.5°C) show steady warming under high pressure and low humidity (25–35%), minimizing cloud interference for solar insolation. Forecast model ensembles, including IMD's WRF runs and GFS, exhibit minor divergence on peak intensity due to potential afternoon cumulus development or light northerly winds, keeping 34°C or below at 18.5% and higher temps unlikely given historical late-March averages (~33°C) and no heatwave signals. Updated IMD guidance expected by midday could refine these closely matched odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 43%
36°C 31%
34°C or below 18%
37°C 12.8%
$72,510 Vol.
$72,510 Vol.
34°C or below
18%
35°C
43%
36°C
31%
37°C
13%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 31%
34°C or below 18%
37°C 12.8%
$72,510 Vol.
$72,510 Vol.
34°C or below
18%
35°C
43%
36°C
31%
37°C
13%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 35–36°C in Lucknow on March 26, driving trader consensus with 40% implied probability for exactly 35°C and 32.5% for 36°C amid persistent clear skies and a continental tropical air mass favoring intense daytime heating. Observations from March 24 (33.2°C high) and preliminary March 25 data (~34.5°C) show steady warming under high pressure and low humidity (25–35%), minimizing cloud interference for solar insolation. Forecast model ensembles, including IMD's WRF runs and GFS, exhibit minor divergence on peak intensity due to potential afternoon cumulus development or light northerly winds, keeping 34°C or below at 18.5% and higher temps unlikely given historical late-March averages (~33°C) and no heatwave signals. Updated IMD guidance expected by midday could refine these closely matched odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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