BIP-Wachstum 2025
2,0–2,5% 100.0%
<0,5% <1%
0,5–1,0 % <1%
1,0–1,5 % <1%
$980,483 Vol.
$980,483 Vol.
Jan 29, 2026
<0,5%
$153,886 Vol.
Nein
0,5–1,0 %
$412,826 Vol.
Nein
1,0–1,5 %
$134,501 Vol.
Nein
1,5–2,0 %
$64,913 Vol.
Nein
2,0–2,5%
$83,157 Vol.
Ja
>2,5 %
$131,200 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2024 to the annual level in 2025. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2024 to the annual level in 2025. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2024 to the annual level in 2025. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Erstellt am: Aug 15, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Volumen
$980,483Enddatum
Jan 29, 2026Erstellt am
Aug 15, 2025, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
BIP-Wachstum 2025
2,0–2,5% 100.0%
<0,5% <1%
0,5–1,0 % <1%
1,0–1,5 % <1%
$980,483 Vol.
$980,483 Vol.
Jan 29, 2026
<0,5%
$153,886 Vol.
Nein
0,5–1,0 %
$412,826 Vol.
Nein
1,0–1,5 %
$134,501 Vol.
Nein
1,5–2,0 %
$64,913 Vol.
Nein
2,0–2,5%
$83,157 Vol.
Ja
>2,5 %
$131,200 Vol.
Nein
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"BIP-Wachstum 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2,0–2,5%" at 100%, followed by "<0,5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "BIP-Wachstum 2025" has generated $980.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "BIP-Wachstum 2025," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "BIP-Wachstum 2025" is "2,0–2,5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<0,5%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "BIP-Wachstum 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions