Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 93% implied probability to win Colorado's open gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by U.S. Senator Michael Bennet's dominant lead in the June 30 Democratic primary per a recent Global Strategy Group poll showing him at 53% against Attorney General Phil Weiser's 22%, alongside a fragmented Republican primary field of over a dozen candidates lacking a clear frontrunner. A fresh Magellan Strategies general election poll indicates Democrats ahead 50%-38% in the generic ballot, reflecting Colorado's leftward shift since Republicans last held the governorship in 2002 amid term limits barring incumbent Jared Polis. While unlikely, a GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, Democratic scandal, or national Republican wave could challenge this positioning ahead of the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Demokrat
93%

Republikaner
6%

Demokrat
93%

Republikaner
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 93% implied probability to win Colorado's open gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by U.S. Senator Michael Bennet's dominant lead in the June 30 Democratic primary per a recent Global Strategy Group poll showing him at 53% against Attorney General Phil Weiser's 22%, alongside a fragmented Republican primary field of over a dozen candidates lacking a clear frontrunner. A fresh Magellan Strategies general election poll indicates Democrats ahead 50%-38% in the generic ballot, reflecting Colorado's leftward shift since Republicans last held the governorship in 2002 amid term limits barring incumbent Jared Polis. While unlikely, a GOP consolidation behind a strong nominee, Democratic scandal, or national Republican wave could challenge this positioning ahead of the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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