Polymarket | The World&#x27;s Largest Prediction Market™

25 bps decrease

16%

Yes16%No84%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

16%

Yes16%No84%

$84m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...?

February 13

Yes3%No97%

February 20

13%

Yes13%No87%

February 13

Yes3%No97%

February 20

13%

Yes13%No87%

$221m Vol.

BTC 15 Minute Up or Down

52%

Down

Live

$24m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

↑ 85,000

↑ 80,000

19%

Yes19%No81%

↑ 85,000

↑ 80,000

19%

Yes19%No81%

$47m Vol.

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Norway

88%

Yes88%No12%

United States

Yes9%No91%

Norway

88%

Yes88%No12%

United States

Yes9%No91%

$7m Vol.

Wildcard

68%

Voca

33%

Wildcard

Voca

Game 3

$262k Vol.

•COUNTER STRIKE

Clippers

27%

Rockets

74%

Clippers

Rockets

$3m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 1:00 AM

Spurs

83%

Lakers

18%

Spurs

Lakers

$3m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 3:30 AM

Starmer out by...?

February 28

March 31

22%

Yes22%No78%

February 28

March 31

22%

Yes22%No78%

$5m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

59%

Down

NEW

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

72%

chance

Yes

$1m Vol.

NFL Champion 2027

Seattle Seahawks

12%

Los Angeles Rams

Seattle Seahawks

12%

Los Angeles Rams

NEW

•

$359k Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

$370k Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

77%

Yes77%No23%

Google

12%

Anthropic

77%

Yes77%No23%

Google

12%

$6m Vol.

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

50-75M

Yes4%No96%

75-100M

67%

Yes67%No33%

50-75M

Yes4%No96%

75-100M

67%

Yes67%No33%

$545k Vol.

Claude 5 released by…?

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

11%

Yes11%No89%

February 14, 2026