Polymarket | The World&#x27;s Largest Prediction Market™

25 bps decrease

16%

Yes16%No84%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

16%

Yes16%No84%

$81m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...?

February 13

Yes6%No94%

February 20

14%

Yes14%No86%

February 13

Yes6%No94%

February 20

14%

Yes14%No86%

$216m Vol.

BTC 15 Minute Up or Down

87%

Down

Live

$24m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

↑ 85,000

11%

↑ 80,000

23%

Yes23%No77%

↑ 85,000

11%

↑ 80,000

23%

Yes23%No77%

$44m Vol.

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Norway

75%

Yes75%No25%

United States

21%

Yes21%No79%

Norway

75%

Yes75%No25%

United States

21%

Yes21%No79%

$5m Vol.

ThunderTalk Gaming

LNG Esports

97%

ThunderTalk

LNG Esports

Game 2

$315k Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS

Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026?

280-299

39%

Yes39%No61%

300-319

48%

Yes48%No52%

280-299

39%

Yes39%No61%

300-319

48%

Yes48%No52%

$22m Vol.

Starmer out by...?

February 28

12%

March 31

33%

Yes33%No67%

February 28

12%

March 31

33%

Yes33%No67%

$5m Vol.

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

70%

chance

Yes

$1m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?

48%

Down

NEW

•

$11k Vol.

NFL Champion 2027

Seattle Seahawks

12%

Buffalo Bills

Yes8%No92%

Seattle Seahawks

12%

Buffalo Bills

Yes8%No92%

NEW

•

$202k Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

chance

Yes

$361k Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

74%

Yes74%No26%

Google

13%

Yes13%No87%

Anthropic

74%

Yes74%No26%

Google

13%

Yes13%No87%

$5m Vol.

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

50-75M

75-100M

50-75M

75-100M

$240k Vol.

Claude 5 released by…?

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

12%

February 14, 2026

February 28, 2026

12%

$1m Vol.

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?

↑ $5,800

11%

↑ $5,500

31%

Yes31%No69%

↑ $5,800

11%