Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

$28m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

54%

Kevin Warsh

23%

Kevin Hassett

54%

Kevin Warsh

23%

$68m Vol.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor card icon

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

82%

Tate

$305k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

87%

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

87%

$3m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

61%

December 31

82%

December 19

61%

December 31

82%

$7m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

5%

January 31, 2026

19%

December 31, 2025

5%

January 31, 2026

19%

$26m Vol.

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...? card icon

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

December 17

98%

December 18

99%

December 17

98%

December 18

99%

$5m Vol.

What will Trump say during the address on December 17? card icon

What will Trump say during the address on December 17?

Venezuela

79%

Big Beautiful Bill

82%

Venezuela

79%

Big Beautiful Bill

82%

$66k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

19%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

19%

Buffalo

12%

$624m Vol.

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<35B

2%

35B–45B

15%

<35B

2%

35B–45B

15%

$62k Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

93%

Rizo Velovic

4%

Savannah Louie

93%

Rizo Velovic

4%

$538k Vol.

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...? card icon

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

December 31

9%

March 31, 2026

55%

December 31

9%

March 31, 2026

55%

$2m Vol.

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post? card icon

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

4%

chance

$93k Vol.

Brown University shooter arrested by...? card icon

Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?

25%

chance

$38k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

46%

Tarcisio de Freitas

19%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

46%

Tarcisio de Freitas

19%

$8m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

66%

>$2B

62%

>$1B

66%

>$2B

62%

$26m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? card icon

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

33%

chance

$278k Vol.

NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

70%

Josh Allen

16%

Matthew Stafford

70%

Josh Allen

16%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

18%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

18%

$289k Vol.

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

25%

chance

$174k Vol.

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner card icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

100%

Bryn Kenney

<1%

Sam Soverel

100%

Bryn Kenney

<1%

$234m Vol.

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025? card icon

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31

92%

Kevin Hassett

3%

No announcement by December 31

92%

Kevin Hassett

3%

$9m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

64%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

22%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

64%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

22%

$70m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion card icon

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

47%

Denver Nuggets

10%

Oklahoma City Thunder

47%

Denver Nuggets

10%

$91m Vol.

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