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Drunken-Mentat

加入时间 Jul 2025·407 浏览量

Senior analyst at the Strategic Fooyou Agency and aficionado of the Baron Harkonnen mention markets

$12.0K

持仓价值

$782.78

最高赢利

625

预测

盈亏

$232.72
Polymarket

过去 24 小时

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

No 76.6¢
1,438.7 份额
$1,136.58$34.56 (3.14%)
icon for Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

No 11.8¢
5,667.8 份额
$793.49$123.69 (18.47%)
icon for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 57.7¢
1,063.0 份额
$744.08$130.65 (21.3%)
icon for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 91.3¢
806.2 份额
$741.72$5.37 (0.73%)
icon for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

No 78¢
800.0 份额
$668.00$44.00 (7.05%)
icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 41.1¢
1,530.0 份额
$520.20-$108.00 (-17.19%)
icon for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 84.9¢
589.1 份额
$518.42$18.41 (3.68%)
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 23.6¢
1,400.0 份额
$468.99$139.00 (42.12%)
icon for Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

No 80¢
500.0 份额
$430.00$30.00 (7.5%)
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 82¢
500.0 份额
$427.50$17.50 (4.27%)
icon for Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82¢
500.0 份额
$427.50$17.50 (4.27%)
icon for Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 71.1¢
550.0 份额
$415.25$24.25 (6.2%)
icon for Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

No 68¢
600.0 份额
$411.00$3.00 (0.74%)
icon for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 68.1¢
787.0 份额
$401.36-$134.53 (-25.1%)
icon for Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 64¢
623.0 份额
$393.98-$4.69 (-1.18%)
icon for US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

No 70¢
499.7 份额
$374.81$24.99 (7.14%)
icon for US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 81¢
400.0 份额
$372.40$48.40 (14.94%)
icon for US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 48¢
858.3 份额
$360.48-$51.47 (-12.49%)
icon for Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 75¢
400.0 份额
$344.00$44.00 (14.67%)
icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

No 72.4¢
500.0 份额
$337.50-$24.50 (-6.77%)