Trader consensus favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or military progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump and allies targeting Greenland. A House Republican bill introduced in January to authorize Greenland takeover stalled amid Danish rejections and NATO alliance strains, while Pentagon contingency planning yielded no action. International opposition, constitutional requirements for Senate ratification of territorial acquisitions, and historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscore formidable barriers. Recent weeks show no escalatory developments, such as formal negotiations or executive orders, reinforcing trader skepticism even as occasional expansionist maps and statements circulate on social media.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$18,973 交易量
$18,973 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$18,973 交易量
$18,973 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or military progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump and allies targeting Greenland. A House Republican bill introduced in January to authorize Greenland takeover stalled amid Danish rejections and NATO alliance strains, while Pentagon contingency planning yielded no action. International opposition, constitutional requirements for Senate ratification of territorial acquisitions, and historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscore formidable barriers. Recent weeks show no escalatory developments, such as formal negotiations or executive orders, reinforcing trader skepticism even as occasional expansionist maps and statements circulate on social media.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$18,973结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or military progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump and allies targeting Greenland. A House Republican bill introduced in January to authorize Greenland takeover stalled amid Danish rejections and NATO alliance strains, while Pentagon contingency planning yielded no action. International opposition, constitutional requirements for Senate ratification of territorial acquisitions, and historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscore formidable barriers. Recent weeks show no escalatory developments, such as formal negotiations or executive orders, reinforcing trader skepticism even as occasional expansionist maps and statements circulate on social media.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,973结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 86.5% implied probability for US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of concrete diplomatic, legislative, or military progress despite early-year rhetoric from President Trump and allies targeting Greenland. A House Republican bill introduced in January to authorize Greenland takeover stalled amid Danish rejections and NATO alliance strains, while Pentagon contingency planning yielded no action. International opposition, constitutional requirements for Senate ratification of territorial acquisitions, and historical precedents like failed 2019-2020 Greenland bids underscore formidable barriers. Recent weeks show no escalatory developments, such as formal negotiations or executive orders, reinforcing trader skepticism even as occasional expansionist maps and statements circulate on social media.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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