Trader consensus heavily favors no territorial concessions on the rest of Donbas before 2027, driven by Ukraine's unwavering official position under President Zelenskyy, who has repeatedly rejected ceding sovereignty in recent addresses, including post-U.S. election statements emphasizing 1991 borders. Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk Oblast, such as around Pokrovsk and Kurakhove, have intensified without prompting Kyiv to negotiate land surrender; instead, Ukraine secured new aid packages from the EU and U.S. allies last week. Constitutional bans on territorial giveaways, strong domestic opposition to capitulation, and NATO integration goals reinforce this stance, while stalled indirect peace talks via Turkey show no progress toward Russian demands for recognition of annexed regions. Potential U.S. diplomatic shifts post-January inauguration add uncertainty but have yet to move odds significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$50,366 交易量
$50,366 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$50,366 交易量
$50,366 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus heavily favors no territorial concessions on the rest of Donbas before 2027, driven by Ukraine's unwavering official position under President Zelenskyy, who has repeatedly rejected ceding sovereignty in recent addresses, including post-U.S. election statements emphasizing 1991 borders. Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk Oblast, such as around Pokrovsk and Kurakhove, have intensified without prompting Kyiv to negotiate land surrender; instead, Ukraine secured new aid packages from the EU and U.S. allies last week. Constitutional bans on territorial giveaways, strong domestic opposition to capitulation, and NATO integration goals reinforce this stance, while stalled indirect peace talks via Turkey show no progress toward Russian demands for recognition of annexed regions. Potential U.S. diplomatic shifts post-January inauguration add uncertainty but have yet to move odds significantly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
交易量
$50,366结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus heavily favors no territorial concessions on the rest of Donbas before 2027, driven by Ukraine's unwavering official position under President Zelenskyy, who has repeatedly rejected ceding sovereignty in recent addresses, including post-U.S. election statements emphasizing 1991 borders. Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk Oblast, such as around Pokrovsk and Kurakhove, have intensified without prompting Kyiv to negotiate land surrender; instead, Ukraine secured new aid packages from the EU and U.S. allies last week. Constitutional bans on territorial giveaways, strong domestic opposition to capitulation, and NATO integration goals reinforce this stance, while stalled indirect peace talks via Turkey show no progress toward Russian demands for recognition of annexed regions. Potential U.S. diplomatic shifts post-January inauguration add uncertainty but have yet to move odds significantly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede de facto control of all major cities under their control in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, major cities under Ukrainian control include the following: Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, Druzhkivka, and Pokrovsk.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of the listed cities will qualify regardless of if Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
A Ukrainian agreement to cede de facto military control, will qualify regardless of the group/entity which replaces them.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify. If Russia captures these cities through military action it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$50,366结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no territorial concessions on the rest of Donbas before 2027, driven by Ukraine's unwavering official position under President Zelenskyy, who has repeatedly rejected ceding sovereignty in recent addresses, including post-U.S. election statements emphasizing 1991 borders. Ongoing Russian military advances in Donetsk Oblast, such as around Pokrovsk and Kurakhove, have intensified without prompting Kyiv to negotiate land surrender; instead, Ukraine secured new aid packages from the EU and U.S. allies last week. Constitutional bans on territorial giveaways, strong domestic opposition to capitulation, and NATO integration goals reinforce this stance, while stalled indirect peace talks via Turkey show no progress toward Russian demands for recognition of annexed regions. Potential U.S. diplomatic shifts post-January inauguration add uncertainty but have yet to move odds significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题