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Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?

Market icon

Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$339,999 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$339,999 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth.

The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$339,999
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 10:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth.

The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$339,999
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 10:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?" has generated $340K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.