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February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.24ºC 37%

1.20–1.24ºC 30%

1.15–1.19ºC 21%

1.10–1.14ºC 5.8%

Polymarket

$80,855 交易量

规则

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$80,855
结束日期
Mar 10, 2026
创建时间
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.24ºC 37%

1.20–1.24ºC 30%

1.15–1.19ºC 21%

1.10–1.14ºC 5.8%

Polymarket

$80,855 交易量

低于1.05ºC

$7,889 交易量

3%

1.05–1.09ºC

$3,358 交易量

3%

1.10–1.14ºC

$6,565 交易量

6%

1.15–1.19ºC

$22,234 交易量

21%

1.20–1.24ºC

$7,915 交易量

30%

>1.24ºC

$32,893 交易量

37%

关于

交易量
$80,855
结束日期
Mar 10, 2026
创建时间
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。