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2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest 49%

3rd hottest 49%

4th or lower 49%

2nd hottest 45%

NEW

规则

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.

Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$1
结束日期
Mar 10, 2026
创建于
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record. Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

注意外部链接。

Market icon

2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest 49%

3rd hottest 49%

4th or lower 49%

2nd hottest 45%

NEW

1st hottest

$0 交易量

49%

2nd hottest

$0 交易量

45%

3rd hottest

$1 交易量

49%

4th or lower

$0 交易量

49%

关于

交易量
$1
结束日期
Mar 10, 2026
创建于
Jan 30, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

注意外部链接。