Market icon

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?

<1% chance

$115,111 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Malibu by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

East Malibu will not count as Malibu for the purposes of this market. Only Malibu's official boundary west of the Malibu creek/lagoon will count (see:https://maps.app.goo.gl/H3sMfYLwPQTbsCvd6)

The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Malibu may also be used.
交易量
$115,111
结束日期
Jan 12, 2025
创建于
Jan 8, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

注意外部链接。

Market icon

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?

<1% chance

$115,111 交易量

关于

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Malibu by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

East Malibu will not count as Malibu for the purposes of this market. Only Malibu's official boundary west of the Malibu creek/lagoon will count (see:https://maps.app.goo.gl/H3sMfYLwPQTbsCvd6)

The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Malibu may also be used.
交易量
$115,111
结束日期
Jan 12, 2025
创建于
Jan 8, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

注意外部链接。