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Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?

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Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$32,781 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$32,781 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic governor publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and any Democratic governor has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Democratic governors or their official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,781
结束日期
Aug 19, 2024
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2024, 4:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic governor publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and any Democratic governor has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Democratic governors or their official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic governor publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and any Democratic governor has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Democratic governors or their official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,781
结束日期
Aug 31, 2024
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2024, 4:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic governor publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and any Democratic governor has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Democratic governors or their official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?" has generated $32.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will a Democratic Governor call on Biden to drop out?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.