US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, missile sites, and defense production facilities starting February 28, 2026, marking over five weeks of active conflict that has significantly degraded Tehran's capabilities. Recent reports from March 27-30 detail continued combined force strikes on ballistic missile factories, with the Pentagon describing the next days as decisive amid progressing ceasefire talks conveyed via a US 15-point proposal. Allies including the UK, France, Germany, and Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman have intercepted Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and airspace, with US operations launched from UK and German facilities, though no confirmed offensive actions by these partners into Iran. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations and potential escalation for additional countries joining offensive military action before the April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$528,522 交易量
2026-04-30
UAE
18%
Saudi Arabia
17%
Kuwait
7%
Bahrain
6%
Any E.U. Country
6%
Turkey
5%
Qatar
5%
Jordan
5%
France
4%
Oman
4%
UK
4%
Germany
2%
Canada
1%
$528,522 交易量
UAE
$69,908 交易量
18%
Saudi Arabia
$95,915 交易量
17%
Kuwait
$1,515 交易量
7%
Bahrain
$1,309 交易量
6%
Any E.U. Country
$6,685 交易量
6%
Turkey
$16,660 交易量
5%
Qatar
$765 交易量
5%
Jordan
$1,098 交易量
5%
France
$149,119 交易量
4%
Oman
$411 交易量
4%
UK
$104,786 交易量
4%
Germany
$80,350 交易量
2%
Canada
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, missile sites, and defense production facilities starting February 28, 2026, marking over five weeks of active conflict that has significantly degraded Tehran's capabilities. Recent reports from March 27-30 detail continued combined force strikes on ballistic missile factories, with the Pentagon describing the next days as decisive amid progressing ceasefire talks conveyed via a US 15-point proposal. Allies including the UK, France, Germany, and Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman have intercepted Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and airspace, with US operations launched from UK and German facilities, though no confirmed offensive actions by these partners into Iran. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations and potential escalation for additional countries joining offensive military action before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$528,522结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, missile sites, and defense production facilities starting February 28, 2026, marking over five weeks of active conflict that has significantly degraded Tehran's capabilities. Recent reports from March 27-30 detail continued combined force strikes on ballistic missile factories, with the Pentagon describing the next days as decisive amid progressing ceasefire talks conveyed via a US 15-point proposal. Allies including the UK, France, Germany, and Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman have intercepted Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and airspace, with US operations launched from UK and German facilities, though no confirmed offensive actions by these partners into Iran. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations and potential escalation for additional countries joining offensive military action before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$528,522结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel launched large-scale airstrikes against Iranian military infrastructure, missile sites, and defense production facilities starting February 28, 2026, marking over five weeks of active conflict that has significantly degraded Tehran's capabilities. Recent reports from March 27-30 detail continued combined force strikes on ballistic missile factories, with the Pentagon describing the next days as decisive amid progressing ceasefire talks conveyed via a US 15-point proposal. Allies including the UK, France, Germany, and Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman have intercepted Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and airspace, with US operations launched from UK and German facilities, though no confirmed offensive actions by these partners into Iran. Traders monitor diplomatic negotiations and potential escalation for additional countries joining offensive military action before the April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题