Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military sites, including missile production facilities, deliberately avoided nuclear installations like the fortified Fordow uranium enrichment plant buried deep underground near Qom, reflecting US pressure for restraint to avert broader escalation. This followed Iran's October 1 barrage of over 180 ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for assassinations of Hezbollah and Hamas leaders tied to Tehran. The IAEA recently reported Iran enriching uranium to 60% purity at Fordow—near weapons-grade—with stocks sufficient for several bombs if further processed. Diplomatic talks via Oman remain stalled, while US aid bolsters Israeli defenses without endorsing strikes on nuclear assets. Upcoming triggers include potential Iranian proxy offensives or Israeli preemptive actions amid Gaza and Lebanon conflicts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$540,559 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
9%
$540,559 交易量
3月31日
$540,559 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 28, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$540,559结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$540,559结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military sites, including missile production facilities, deliberately avoided nuclear installations like the fortified Fordow uranium enrichment plant buried deep underground near Qom, reflecting US pressure for restraint to avert broader escalation. This followed Iran's October 1 barrage of over 180 ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for assassinations of Hezbollah and Hamas leaders tied to Tehran. The IAEA recently reported Iran enriching uranium to 60% purity at Fordow—near weapons-grade—with stocks sufficient for several bombs if further processed. Diplomatic talks via Oman remain stalled, while US aid bolsters Israeli defenses without endorsing strikes on nuclear assets. Upcoming triggers include potential Iranian proxy offensives or Israeli preemptive actions amid Gaza and Lebanon conflicts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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