US and Israel initiated airstrikes against Iran's nuclear facilities, leadership, and missile programs in early March 2026, sparking retaliatory attacks on Israeli and US regional bases and escalating into a multi-week conflict now entering its fifth week. President Trump's address on April 2 outlined further steps, including threats to Iranian power plants, as the Pentagon readies ground operations. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, previously cautious, have granted US base access and signaled openness to military involvement following Iranian strikes on their interests. European NATO allies offer defensive support and Hormuz Strait patrols without offensive commitments. Traders monitor coalition expansion risks and diplomatic de-escalation efforts ahead of the April 30 resolution, amid public polls showing US opposition to prolonged action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$816,177 交易量
2026-04-30
UAE
20%
Saudi Arabia
18%
Kuwait
7%
UK
4%
Jordan
4%
Qatar
4%
Any E.U. Country
4%
Bahrain
3%
Turkey
3%
France
2%
Oman
2%
Germany
1%
Canada
1%
$816,177 交易量
UAE
$211,090 交易量
20%
Saudi Arabia
$159,960 交易量
18%
Kuwait
$7,591 交易量
7%
UK
$128,391 交易量
4%
Jordan
$1,423 交易量
4%
Qatar
$1,314 交易量
4%
Any E.U. Country
$12,213 交易量
4%
Bahrain
$9,055 交易量
3%
Turkey
$23,724 交易量
3%
France
$153,536 交易量
2%
Oman
$1,437 交易量
2%
Germany
$83,662 交易量
1%
Canada
$22,880 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel initiated airstrikes against Iran's nuclear facilities, leadership, and missile programs in early March 2026, sparking retaliatory attacks on Israeli and US regional bases and escalating into a multi-week conflict now entering its fifth week. President Trump's address on April 2 outlined further steps, including threats to Iranian power plants, as the Pentagon readies ground operations. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, previously cautious, have granted US base access and signaled openness to military involvement following Iranian strikes on their interests. European NATO allies offer defensive support and Hormuz Strait patrols without offensive commitments. Traders monitor coalition expansion risks and diplomatic de-escalation efforts ahead of the April 30 resolution, amid public polls showing US opposition to prolonged action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$816,177结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel initiated airstrikes against Iran's nuclear facilities, leadership, and missile programs in early March 2026, sparking retaliatory attacks on Israeli and US regional bases and escalating into a multi-week conflict now entering its fifth week. President Trump's address on April 2 outlined further steps, including threats to Iranian power plants, as the Pentagon readies ground operations. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, previously cautious, have granted US base access and signaled openness to military involvement following Iranian strikes on their interests. European NATO allies offer defensive support and Hormuz Strait patrols without offensive commitments. Traders monitor coalition expansion risks and diplomatic de-escalation efforts ahead of the April 30 resolution, amid public polls showing US opposition to prolonged action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$816,177结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel initiated airstrikes against Iran's nuclear facilities, leadership, and missile programs in early March 2026, sparking retaliatory attacks on Israeli and US regional bases and escalating into a multi-week conflict now entering its fifth week. President Trump's address on April 2 outlined further steps, including threats to Iranian power plants, as the Pentagon readies ground operations. Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE, previously cautious, have granted US base access and signaled openness to military involvement following Iranian strikes on their interests. European NATO allies offer defensive support and Hormuz Strait patrols without offensive commitments. Traders monitor coalition expansion risks and diplomatic de-escalation efforts ahead of the April 30 resolution, amid public polls showing US opposition to prolonged action.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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