United States and Israel forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, ballistic missile infrastructure, and military targets starting February 28, 2026, under operations like Epic Fury, initiating open conflict now exceeding five weeks. In the past 24 hours, Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, prompting continued US-Israeli counterstrikes that have degraded Tehran's retaliatory capabilities, as President Trump declared the threat "nearly eliminated." UK, France, Germany, and GCC allies provide defensive aid by intercepting projectiles and hosting bases, but no offensive military action by additional countries. Traders watch Strait of Hormuz blockades, potential coalition expansions, and diplomatic signals for shifts before April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$814,882 交易量
2026-04-30
UAE
19%
Saudi Arabia
18%
Kuwait
8%
UK
4%
Any E.U. Country
4%
Jordan
4%
Qatar
4%
Bahrain
3%
Turkey
3%
France
2%
Oman
2%
Germany
1%
Canada
1%
$814,882 交易量
UAE
$210,727 交易量
19%
Saudi Arabia
$159,945 交易量
18%
Kuwait
$7,591 交易量
8%
UK
$128,391 交易量
4%
Any E.U. Country
$11,436 交易量
4%
Jordan
$1,423 交易量
4%
Qatar
$1,314 交易量
4%
Bahrain
$9,055 交易量
3%
Turkey
$23,724 交易量
3%
France
$153,436 交易量
2%
Oman
$1,437 交易量
2%
Germany
$83,662 交易量
1%
Canada
$22,880 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.United States and Israel forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, ballistic missile infrastructure, and military targets starting February 28, 2026, under operations like Epic Fury, initiating open conflict now exceeding five weeks. In the past 24 hours, Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, prompting continued US-Israeli counterstrikes that have degraded Tehran's retaliatory capabilities, as President Trump declared the threat "nearly eliminated." UK, France, Germany, and GCC allies provide defensive aid by intercepting projectiles and hosting bases, but no offensive military action by additional countries. Traders watch Strait of Hormuz blockades, potential coalition expansions, and diplomatic signals for shifts before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$814,882结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.United States and Israel forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, ballistic missile infrastructure, and military targets starting February 28, 2026, under operations like Epic Fury, initiating open conflict now exceeding five weeks. In the past 24 hours, Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, prompting continued US-Israeli counterstrikes that have degraded Tehran's retaliatory capabilities, as President Trump declared the threat "nearly eliminated." UK, France, Germany, and GCC allies provide defensive aid by intercepting projectiles and hosting bases, but no offensive military action by additional countries. Traders watch Strait of Hormuz blockades, potential coalition expansions, and diplomatic signals for shifts before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$814,882结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United States and Israel forces launched coordinated airstrikes against Iranian nuclear sites, ballistic missile infrastructure, and military targets starting February 28, 2026, under operations like Epic Fury, initiating open conflict now exceeding five weeks. In the past 24 hours, Iran fired ballistic missiles at Israel and Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, prompting continued US-Israeli counterstrikes that have degraded Tehran's retaliatory capabilities, as President Trump declared the threat "nearly eliminated." UK, France, Germany, and GCC allies provide defensive aid by intercepting projectiles and hosting bases, but no offensive military action by additional countries. Traders watch Strait of Hormuz blockades, potential coalition expansions, and diplomatic signals for shifts before April 30 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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