Market icon

When will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla?

No raid 100.0%

before Sept 16 <1%

Sept 16–18 <1%

Sept 19-21 <1%

$398,139 交易量

规则

The Global Sumud Flotilla, including its partner initiatives, announced that it will launch a Flotilla towards Gaza from Spanish ports on August 31 and Tunisian ports on September 4. More information can be found here: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/31/gaza-humanitarian-flotilla-departs-barcelona-to-break-israeli-siege

This market will resolve according to the date Israeli military or law enforcement personnel first physically board any vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers.

This market will resolve to "No raid" if no qualifying raid is conducted by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$398,139
结束日期
Sep 30, 2025
创建于
Sep 4, 2025, 5:52 PM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

注意外部链接。

Market icon

When will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla?

No raid 100.0%

before Sept 16 <1%

Sept 16–18 <1%

Sept 19-21 <1%

$398,139 交易量

before Sept 16

$11,463 交易量

No

Sept 16–18

$15,962 交易量

No

Sept 19-21

$33,890 交易量

No

Sept 22-24

$64,512 交易量

No

Sept 25-27

$80,406 交易量

No

Sept 28-30

$90,687 交易量

No

No raid

$101,219 交易量

Yes

关于

交易量
$398,139
结束日期
Sep 30, 2025
创建于
Sep 4, 2025, 5:52 PM ET

注意外部链接。