$479,910 交易量
Dec 8, 2025
ChatGPT 10+ times
No
OpenAI 4+ times
No
Sora 3+ times
No
API / AGI
No
Elon / Musk
No
Nvidia / Bubble
No
Meme
No
Silicon Valley / Nerd
No
Polymarket / Bet
Yes
Deep Fake
No
Terminator / Movie
No
Robot / Robotic
No
Creativity / Artist
No
Car / Tesla
No
Trump / Election
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
$479,910 交易量
ChatGPT 10+ times
$13,760 交易量
No
OpenAI 4+ times
$36,973 交易量
No
Sora 3+ times
$10,251 交易量
No
API / AGI
$37,683 交易量
No
Elon / Musk
$10,069 交易量
No
Nvidia / Bubble
$8,232 交易量
No
Meme
$5,104 交易量
No
Silicon Valley / Nerd
$2,936 交易量
No
Polymarket / Bet
$12,277 交易量
Yes
Deep Fake
$8,095 交易量
No
Terminator / Movie
$22,002 交易量
No
Robot / Robotic
$14,479 交易量
No
Creativity / Artist
$5,838 交易量
No
Car / Tesla
$280,872 交易量
No
Trump / Election
$3,267 交易量
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$8,071 交易量
No
Sam Altman is scheduled to appear on the December 8 broadcast of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: https://www.theverge.com/news/837942/sam-altman-is-going-on-the-tonight-show-next-week
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman says the listed term at any point during this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where Sam Altman is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Sam Altman or NBC, or otherwise is not released by December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.Sam Altman is scheduled to appear on the December 8 broadcast of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon: https://www.theverge.com/news/837942/sam-altman-is-going-on-the-tonight-show-next-week
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman says the listed term at any point during this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where Sam Altman is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Sam Altman or NBC, or otherwise is not released by December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman says the listed term at any point during this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where Sam Altman is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Sam Altman or NBC, or otherwise is not released by December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$479,910结束日期
Dec 8, 2025市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
Frequently Asked Questions