Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with market-implied odds at 27.5% for over $200 million in its five-day Easter domestic debut (April 1-5), outpacing bins like 190-200M (19.2%) and 170-180M (18.8%) amid surging presales that have upgraded tracking from conservative $160M+ estimates to $175-200M ranges per recent industry reports. Buoyed by the 2023 original's $204M five-day record, Illumination's family-friendly animation, Nintendo IP pull, and IMAX/3D rollout, sentiment reflects strong walk-up potential from multigenerational fandom and holiday timing, though close competition hinges on final preview surges, weather, and counterprogramming holds like Project Hail Mary. Wednesday early shows and Thursday grosses will be pivotal swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
>200m 28%
190-200m 19.3%
170-180m 18.8%
180-190m 15.0%
$287,425 交易量
$287,425 交易量
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
7%
160-170m
13%
170-180m
19%
180-190m
15%
190-200m
19%
>200m
28%
>200m 28%
190-200m 19.3%
170-180m 18.8%
180-190m 15.0%
$287,425 交易量
$287,425 交易量
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
$21,652 交易量
7%
160-170m
$21,226 交易量
13%
170-180m
$20,302 交易量
19%
180-190m
$21,161 交易量
15%
190-200m
$21,780 交易量
19%
>200m
$181,302 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with market-implied odds at 27.5% for over $200 million in its five-day Easter domestic debut (April 1-5), outpacing bins like 190-200M (19.2%) and 170-180M (18.8%) amid surging presales that have upgraded tracking from conservative $160M+ estimates to $175-200M ranges per recent industry reports. Buoyed by the 2023 original's $204M five-day record, Illumination's family-friendly animation, Nintendo IP pull, and IMAX/3D rollout, sentiment reflects strong walk-up potential from multigenerational fandom and holiday timing, though close competition hinges on final preview surges, weather, and counterprogramming holds like Project Hail Mary. Wednesday early shows and Thursday grosses will be pivotal swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$287,425结束日期
Apr 6, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with market-implied odds at 27.5% for over $200 million in its five-day Easter domestic debut (April 1-5), outpacing bins like 190-200M (19.2%) and 170-180M (18.8%) amid surging presales that have upgraded tracking from conservative $160M+ estimates to $175-200M ranges per recent industry reports. Buoyed by the 2023 original's $204M five-day record, Illumination's family-friendly animation, Nintendo IP pull, and IMAX/3D rollout, sentiment reflects strong walk-up potential from multigenerational fandom and holiday timing, though close competition hinges on final preview surges, weather, and counterprogramming holds like Project Hail Mary. Wednesday early shows and Thursday grosses will be pivotal swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$287,425结束日期
Apr 6, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, with market-implied odds at 27.5% for over $200 million in its five-day Easter domestic debut (April 1-5), outpacing bins like 190-200M (19.2%) and 170-180M (18.8%) amid surging presales that have upgraded tracking from conservative $160M+ estimates to $175-200M ranges per recent industry reports. Buoyed by the 2023 original's $204M five-day record, Illumination's family-friendly animation, Nintendo IP pull, and IMAX/3D rollout, sentiment reflects strong walk-up potential from multigenerational fandom and holiday timing, though close competition hinges on final preview surges, weather, and counterprogramming holds like Project Hail Mary. Wednesday early shows and Thursday grosses will be pivotal swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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