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葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名

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葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名

若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多(自由倡议党) 100.0%

安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党派) <1%

马努埃拉·马格诺(无党籍) <1%

安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍) <1%

Polymarket

$141,393 交易量

若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多(自由倡议党) 100.0%

安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党派) <1%

马努埃拉·马格诺(无党籍) <1%

安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍) <1%

Polymarket

$141,393 交易量

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安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党派)

$1,582 交易量

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马努埃拉·马格诺(无党籍)

$431 交易量

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安东尼奥·若泽·塞古罗(无党籍)

$14,567 交易量

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劳尔·佩雷斯特雷洛(无党派)

$598 交易量

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若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多(自由倡议党)

$48,932 交易量

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曼努埃尔·若昂·维埃拉

$390 交易量

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安德烈·文图拉(CH)

$20,242 交易量

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路易斯·马尔凯斯·门德斯(社会民主党)

$25,317 交易量

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维托里诺·席尔瓦(无党籍)

$280 交易量

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何塞·卡多索(PLS)

$280 交易量

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Rui Moreira(无党籍)

$461 交易量

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Humberto Correia

$429 交易量

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蒂姆·维埃拉(无党派)

$461 交易量

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奥兰多·克鲁兹(无党派)

$723 交易量

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佩德罗·蒂诺科·德·法里亚(无党籍)

$598 交易量

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安杰拉·玛丽亚(无党籍)

$598 交易量

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佩德罗·帕索斯·科埃略(社会民主党)

$598 交易量

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保罗·波尔塔斯(CDS)

$1,686 交易量

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乔安娜·阿马拉尔·迪亚斯(ADN)

$326 交易量

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阿里斯蒂德斯·特谢拉(无党派)

$598 交易量

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo(无党派)

$19,187 交易量

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安东尼奥·菲利佩(葡共)

$2,477 交易量

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若热·平托

$431 交易量

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卡塔丽娜·马丁斯(左翼集团)

$205 交易量

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the third-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
交易量
$141,393
结束日期
Jan 18, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 14, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the third-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多(自由倡议党)" at 100%, followed by "安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党派)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名" has generated $141.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名" is "若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多(自由倡议党)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安德烈·佩斯塔纳(无党派)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "葡萄牙总统选举:第一轮第三名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.