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科技·大型科技公司

苹果的下一任首席执行官？

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

苹果的下一任首席执行官？

约翰·特努斯 44%

Sabih Khan 14%

克雷格·费德里希 7.0%

Greg Joswiak 3.2%

Polymarket

$667,927 交易量

约翰·特努斯 44%

Sabih Khan 14%

克雷格·费德里希 7.0%

Greg Joswiak 3.2%

Polymarket

$667,927 交易量

约翰·特努斯

$578,789 交易量

44%

Sabih Khan

$7,698 交易量

14%

克雷格·费德里希

$31,481 交易量

7%

Greg Joswiak

$49,959 交易量

10%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors John Ternus at 44% implied probability as Apple's next CEO, propelled by Bloomberg's March 2026 profile highlighting him as Tim Cook's likely successor amid intensified succession planning and his expanded oversight of hardware engineering and industrial design—critical for Apple's AI-driven silicon roadmap and product innovation. Sabih Khan's 14% odds reflect his 2025 promotion to COO, bolstering supply chain resilience amid geopolitical tensions, while Greg Joswiak (10.1%) and Craig Federighi (7%) trail due to their marketing and software engineering strengths but narrower operational scopes. Cook recently dismissed 2026 retirement rumors, yet Apple's 50th anniversary events and Q2 earnings could catalyze further shifts in leadership speculation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
交易量
$667,927
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors John Ternus at 44% implied probability as Apple's next CEO, propelled by Bloomberg's March 2026 profile highlighting him as Tim Cook's likely successor amid intensified succession planning and his expanded oversight of hardware engineering and industrial design—critical for Apple's AI-driven silicon roadmap and product innovation. Sabih Khan's 14% odds reflect his 2025 promotion to COO, bolstering supply chain resilience amid geopolitical tensions, while Greg Joswiak (10.1%) and Craig Federighi (7%) trail due to their marketing and software engineering strengths but narrower operational scopes. Cook recently dismissed 2026 retirement rumors, yet Apple's 50th anniversary events and Q2 earnings could catalyze further shifts in leadership speculation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
交易量
$667,927
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"苹果的下一任首席执行官？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"约翰·特努斯"，概率为 44%，其次是"Sabih Khan"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 44¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"苹果的下一任首席执行官？"已产生 $667.9K 的总交易量（自Nov 18, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"苹果的下一任首席执行官？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"苹果的下一任首席执行官？"的当前领先者是"约翰·特努斯"，概率为 44%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 44%。紧随其后的结果是"Sabih Khan"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"苹果的下一任首席执行官？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。