SpaceX's exceptional launch cadence, fueled by rapid Falcon 9 reusability with booster turnaround times under 48 hours, has driven near-certain trader consensus on 12 or more orbital launches in March, already surpassing 10 successes midway through the month per official manifests. This positioning reflects Starlink constellation expansion demands, building on 2024's record pace—nine in February alone—and historical data showing 96 missions last year. NOAA weather models support continued viability at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, with minimal scrub risks from high winds or thunderstorms. Realistic challenges include anomalous engine performance, FAA-mandated ground stops, or upper-level winds exceeding 250 knots, potentially capping at 11 amid compressed end-month windows.