Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14 SpaceX launches in April at 51% implied probability, reflecting the company's relentless Starlink deployment cadence and recent FAA approvals for elevated flight rates from Florida and California pads. A successful Starlink Group 10-58 mission on April 2—SpaceX's 41st launch of 2026—kicked off the month without delays, building on March's record reusability feats like a booster's 34th flight and multiple weekly liftoffs. With five more missions manifested through mid-April (including NG-24 ISS resupply on April 8), traders anticipate 1-2 launches per week amid optimal weather windows, though range congestion or minor anomalies could trim to 13 (36.5%) or boost to 15 (15.5%). Starship tests NET later in the month add upside potential.