Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 19°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with early April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18–20°C under typical spring high-pressure systems and mild southerly flows, as seen in recent JMA surface analyses showing stable atmospheric conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official data revision from instrument error or quality control, though JMA protocols minimize such risks; no further updates are expected as the daily record finalizes by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$163,819 交易量
$163,819 交易量
2026-04-03
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$163,819 交易量
$163,819 交易量
2026-04-03
11°C or below
$6,122 交易量
No
12°C
$5,161 交易量
No
13°C
$5,929 交易量
No
14°C
$7,223 交易量
No
15°C
$28,501 交易量
No
16°C
$13,626 交易量
No
17°C
$12,113 交易量
No
18°C
$16,491 交易量
No
19°C
$30,722 交易量
Yes
20°C
$17,832 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$20,099 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 19°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with early April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18–20°C under typical spring high-pressure systems and mild southerly flows, as seen in recent JMA surface analyses showing stable atmospheric conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official data revision from instrument error or quality control, though JMA protocols minimize such risks; no further updates are expected as the daily record finalizes by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$163,819结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 19°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with early April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18–20°C under typical spring high-pressure systems and mild southerly flows, as seen in recent JMA surface analyses showing stable atmospheric conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official data revision from instrument error or quality control, though JMA protocols minimize such risks; no further updates are expected as the daily record finalizes by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$163,819结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 19°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with early April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18–20°C under typical spring high-pressure systems and mild southerly flows, as seen in recent JMA surface analyses showing stable atmospheric conditions. Trader consensus reflects this verified data, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official data revision from instrument error or quality control, though JMA protocols minimize such risks; no further updates are expected as the daily record finalizes by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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