Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in Taipei on April 3, 2026, driven by verified observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, including Songshan Airport, confirming this as the daily maximum amid partly cloudy skies and scattered morning showers. Incoming weather fronts over northern Taiwan increased cloud cover and precipitation, suppressing daytime solar heating below initial forecast models projecting 27°C highs, consistent with April climatological averages around 24°C. While CWA data carries authoritative weight for market resolution, a realistic challenge would require a rare post-verification revision from quality-controlled records, with final daily summaries expected shortly after midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$92,814 交易量
$92,814 交易量
2026-04-03
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$92,814 交易量
$92,814 交易量
2026-04-03
23°C or below
$12,515 交易量
No
24°C
$7,617 交易量
No
25°C
$18,998 交易量
Yes
26°C
$6,352 交易量
No
27°C
$7,187 交易量
No
28°C
$9,337 交易量
No
29°C
$10,271 交易量
No
30°C
$3,831 交易量
No
31°C
$3,018 交易量
No
32°C
$3,255 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$10,433 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in Taipei on April 3, 2026, driven by verified observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, including Songshan Airport, confirming this as the daily maximum amid partly cloudy skies and scattered morning showers. Incoming weather fronts over northern Taiwan increased cloud cover and precipitation, suppressing daytime solar heating below initial forecast models projecting 27°C highs, consistent with April climatological averages around 24°C. While CWA data carries authoritative weight for market resolution, a realistic challenge would require a rare post-verification revision from quality-controlled records, with final daily summaries expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$92,814结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in Taipei on April 3, 2026, driven by verified observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, including Songshan Airport, confirming this as the daily maximum amid partly cloudy skies and scattered morning showers. Incoming weather fronts over northern Taiwan increased cloud cover and precipitation, suppressing daytime solar heating below initial forecast models projecting 27°C highs, consistent with April climatological averages around 24°C. While CWA data carries authoritative weight for market resolution, a realistic challenge would require a rare post-verification revision from quality-controlled records, with final daily summaries expected shortly after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$92,814结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in Taipei on April 3, 2026, driven by verified observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) stations, including Songshan Airport, confirming this as the daily maximum amid partly cloudy skies and scattered morning showers. Incoming weather fronts over northern Taiwan increased cloud cover and precipitation, suppressing daytime solar heating below initial forecast models projecting 27°C highs, consistent with April climatological averages around 24°C. While CWA data carries authoritative weight for market resolution, a realistic challenge would require a rare post-verification revision from quality-controlled records, with final daily summaries expected shortly after midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题