Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$226,711 交易量
$226,711 交易量
2026-04-01
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$226,711 交易量
$226,711 交易量
2026-04-01
21°C or below
$28,573 交易量
No
22°C
$15,846 交易量
No
23°C
$27,044 交易量
No
24°C
$13,479 交易量
No
25°C
$29,375 交易量
No
26°C
$29,055 交易量
No
27°C
$18,061 交易量
Yes
28°C
$21,860 交易量
No
29°C
$14,854 交易量
No
30°C
$17,759 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$10,805 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
交易量
$226,711结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$226,711结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation. Current readings at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source—peaked near 27°C (81°F) midday before cooling to 24°C by evening amid 68% humidity and light SSE winds, aligning with early April climatological norms of 26–28°C highs. This tight model agreement reflects subdued atmospheric heating from overcast conditions. Realistic challenges would require improbable late-day clearing for a 1–2°C surge, unlikely per hourly trends; final airport records will confirm resolution post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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