National Weather Service guidance, backed by converging GFS and ECMWF ensembles, projects a Central Park high near 52°F on March 29, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability for 52-53°F amid low-to-mid 50s clustering. A lingering cool air mass post-frontal passage from March 27's mild conditions meets a building high-pressure ridge, fostering mostly sunny skies and light winds that promote afternoon heating from a chilly morning start—aligning with late March climatological norms around 52°F. Close probabilities reflect subtle model divergences, with GFS ensembles slightly warmer than ECMWF, plus uncertainties in cloud breaks and diurnal peak timing; evening NOAA updates could refine odds before observations resolve via official Central Park measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 32%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F 21%
56-57°F 10%
$46,527 交易量
$46,527 交易量
47°F or below
4%
48-49°F
5%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 32%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F 21%
56-57°F 10%
$46,527 交易量
$46,527 交易量
47°F or below
4%
48-49°F
5%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance, backed by converging GFS and ECMWF ensembles, projects a Central Park high near 52°F on March 29, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability for 52-53°F amid low-to-mid 50s clustering. A lingering cool air mass post-frontal passage from March 27's mild conditions meets a building high-pressure ridge, fostering mostly sunny skies and light winds that promote afternoon heating from a chilly morning start—aligning with late March climatological norms around 52°F. Close probabilities reflect subtle model divergences, with GFS ensembles slightly warmer than ECMWF, plus uncertainties in cloud breaks and diurnal peak timing; evening NOAA updates could refine odds before observations resolve via official Central Park measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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