Official meteorological observations from ARPA Lombardia and Milano Linate airport station confirm Milan's highest temperature on March 22 reached exactly 13°C amid overcast skies and light precipitation, aligning with seasonal norms for late March where average maxima hover around 12-14°C. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted this range, with cloudy conditions capping solar heating and preventing warmer outliers. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, cross-checked across multiple stations. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from authoritative sources—highly improbable given consistent reporting—or an overlooked microclimate spike, but no evidence supports deviations beyond measurement uncertainty of ±0.5°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月22日米兰的最高温度?
3月22日米兰的最高温度?
13℃ 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13℃
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
13℃ 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13℃
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from ARPA Lombardia and Milano Linate airport station confirm Milan's highest temperature on March 22 reached exactly 13°C amid overcast skies and light precipitation, aligning with seasonal norms for late March where average maxima hover around 12-14°C. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted this range, with cloudy conditions capping solar heating and preventing warmer outliers. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, cross-checked across multiple stations. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from authoritative sources—highly improbable given consistent reporting—or an overlooked microclimate spike, but no evidence supports deviations beyond measurement uncertainty of ±0.5°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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