Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 22.3°C on April 3, 2026, at 18:10 local time, rounding to 22°C under whole-degree criteria and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects accurate pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models predicting mild highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped warming, consistent with early spring climatology where April averages 18-19°C at the site. Nearby stations like Retiro hit 21.4°C, reinforcing uniformity. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or sensor discrepancies, though cross-verified records make shifts improbable as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 3?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$129,297 交易量
$129,297 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$129,297 交易量
$129,297 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
$3,324 交易量
No
17°C
$2,102 交易量
No
18°C
$2,807 交易量
No
19°C
$10,861 交易量
No
20°C
$23,015 交易量
No
21°C
$17,989 交易量
No
22°C
$31,089 交易量
Yes
23°C
$14,166 交易量
No
24°C
$12,926 交易量
No
25°C
$6,368 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$4,649 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 22.3°C on April 3, 2026, at 18:10 local time, rounding to 22°C under whole-degree criteria and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects accurate pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models predicting mild highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped warming, consistent with early spring climatology where April averages 18-19°C at the site. Nearby stations like Retiro hit 21.4°C, reinforcing uniformity. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or sensor discrepancies, though cross-verified records make shifts improbable as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET
交易量
$129,297结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 22.3°C on April 3, 2026, at 18:10 local time, rounding to 22°C under whole-degree criteria and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects accurate pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models predicting mild highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped warming, consistent with early spring climatology where April averages 18-19°C at the site. Nearby stations like Retiro hit 21.4°C, reinforcing uniformity. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or sensor discrepancies, though cross-verified records make shifts improbable as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$129,297结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:11 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recorded a maximum temperature of 22.3°C on April 3, 2026, at 18:10 local time, rounding to 22°C under whole-degree criteria and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects accurate pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models predicting mild highs amid a stable high-pressure ridge, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped warming, consistent with early spring climatology where April averages 18-19°C at the site. Nearby stations like Retiro hit 21.4°C, reinforcing uniformity. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or sensor discrepancies, though cross-verified records make shifts improbable as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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