Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 74-77°F highs for Los Angeles on March 28, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 75-78°F at key stations like LAX and downtown, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest promoting subsidence and offshore Santa Ana-like winds that suppress marine layer clouds. Recent 12z model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight clustering around 76°F peaks, up slightly from yesterday's cooler biases due to refined ridge forecasts, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cumulus development or exact diurnal heating. Climatologically, March averages 68-70°F, but this high-pressure setup favors above-normal warmth; watch the 00z updates tonight for resolution-clarifying tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 21%
86°F or higher 12.2%
67°F or below
7%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
12%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 22%
72-73°F 21%
86°F or higher 12.2%
67°F or below
7%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 74-77°F highs for Los Angeles on March 28, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 75-78°F at key stations like LAX and downtown, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southwest promoting subsidence and offshore Santa Ana-like winds that suppress marine layer clouds. Recent 12z model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight clustering around 76°F peaks, up slightly from yesterday's cooler biases due to refined ridge forecasts, though minor uncertainty persists from potential afternoon cumulus development or exact diurnal heating. Climatologically, March averages 68-70°F, but this high-pressure setup favors above-normal warmth; watch the 00z updates tonight for resolution-clarifying tweaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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