Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26 reached 28°C at the Aeroparque station, the primary reporting site for such records, aligning perfectly with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This measurement reflects mild autumn conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure system suppressing heat advection, consistent with recent forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that projected daytime highs in the upper 20s°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified data point, with negligible odds on higher temperatures due to the absence of heatwave indicators like northerly foehn winds. Only an improbable post hoc revision from SMN—such as equipment recalibration—could challenge resolution, though official finalization is expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,757 交易量
$63,757 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,757 交易量
$63,757 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26 reached 28°C at the Aeroparque station, the primary reporting site for such records, aligning perfectly with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This measurement reflects mild autumn conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure system suppressing heat advection, consistent with recent forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that projected daytime highs in the upper 20s°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified data point, with negligible odds on higher temperatures due to the absence of heatwave indicators like northerly foehn winds. Only an improbable post hoc revision from SMN—such as equipment recalibration—could challenge resolution, though official finalization is expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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