Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$207,689 交易量
$207,689 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$207,689 交易量
$207,689 交易量
2026-04-03
16°C or below
$15,031 交易量
No
17°C
$7,702 交易量
No
18°C
$9,338 交易量
No
19°C
$11,384 交易量
No
20°C
$18,954 交易量
No
21°C
$51,141 交易量
No
22°C
$21,386 交易量
No
23°C
$21,424 交易量
Yes
24°C
$14,467 交易量
No
25°C
$15,608 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$21,253 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
交易量
$207,689结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$207,689结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题