Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 78-79°F as Houston's highest temperature on April 8, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service's automated station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Preliminary daily climatological reports confirm the peak fell squarely in this bin amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and elevated humidity from Gulf moisture, which capped daytime heating below initial forecasts near 80°F. This outcome aligns with NOAA model guidance and April climatology, where average highs hover around 79°F under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare NWS data audit or instrument recalibration uncovering an overlooked peak could alter it, with final verification expected in the monthly summary later this month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 8?
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$69,553 交易量
$69,553 交易量
2026-04-08
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$69,553 交易量
$69,553 交易量
2026-04-08
67°F or below
$12,821 交易量
No
68-69°F
$3,522 交易量
No
70-71°F
$1,998 交易量
No
72-73°F
$2,294 交易量
No
74-75°F
$3,264 交易量
No
76-77°F
$12,407 交易量
No
78-79°F
$13,354 交易量
Yes
80-81°F
$9,010 交易量
No
82-83°F
$5,671 交易量
No
84-85°F
$2,384 交易量
No
86°F or higher
$2,829 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 78-79°F as Houston's highest temperature on April 8, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service's automated station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Preliminary daily climatological reports confirm the peak fell squarely in this bin amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and elevated humidity from Gulf moisture, which capped daytime heating below initial forecasts near 80°F. This outcome aligns with NOAA model guidance and April climatology, where average highs hover around 79°F under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare NWS data audit or instrument recalibration uncovering an overlooked peak could alter it, with final verification expected in the monthly summary later this month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$69,553结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 78-79°F as Houston's highest temperature on April 8, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service's automated station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Preliminary daily climatological reports confirm the peak fell squarely in this bin amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and elevated humidity from Gulf moisture, which capped daytime heating below initial forecasts near 80°F. This outcome aligns with NOAA model guidance and April climatology, where average highs hover around 79°F under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare NWS data audit or instrument recalibration uncovering an overlooked peak could alter it, with final verification expected in the monthly summary later this month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,553结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 78-79°F as Houston's highest temperature on April 8, driven by official observational data from the National Weather Service's automated station at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground. Preliminary daily climatological reports confirm the peak fell squarely in this bin amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and elevated humidity from Gulf moisture, which capped daytime heating below initial forecasts near 80°F. This outcome aligns with NOAA model guidance and April climatology, where average highs hover around 79°F under neutral ENSO conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare NWS data audit or instrument recalibration uncovering an overlooked peak could alter it, with final verification expected in the monthly summary later this month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题