Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei stations, including a peak of 25.2°C at Shiba around midday, have locked in trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C maximum on April 8, as the day concludes without further warming. Persistent cloud cover and intermittent showers—triggered by a moist southerly flow and heavy rain alerts for northern Taiwan—suppressed solar insolation, capping the diurnal temperature rise well below pre-dawn model forecasts of 28–32°C from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. April climatology supports this, with rainy days in Taipei averaging highs near 24°C versus 26–27°C under clearer skies. Scenarios challenging this would require a late unreported spike at a peripheral station exceeding 25.5°C, but post-sunset data releases affirm the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月8日台北气温最高？
4月8日台北气温最高？
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$64,778 交易量
$64,778 交易量
2026-04-08
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$64,778 交易量
$64,778 交易量
2026-04-08
21°C或以下
$3,209 交易量
否
22°C
$4,924 交易量
否
23°C
$7,854 交易量
否
24°C
$12,735 交易量
否
25°C
$7,483 交易量
是
26°C
$5,198 交易量
否
27°C
$5,914 交易量
否
28°C
$5,198 交易量
否
29°C
$4,988 交易量
否
30°C
$3,125 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$4,150 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei stations, including a peak of 25.2°C at Shiba around midday, have locked in trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C maximum on April 8, as the day concludes without further warming. Persistent cloud cover and intermittent showers—triggered by a moist southerly flow and heavy rain alerts for northern Taiwan—suppressed solar insolation, capping the diurnal temperature rise well below pre-dawn model forecasts of 28–32°C from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. April climatology supports this, with rainy days in Taipei averaging highs near 24°C versus 26–27°C under clearer skies. Scenarios challenging this would require a late unreported spike at a peripheral station exceeding 25.5°C, but post-sunset data releases affirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$64,778结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei stations, including a peak of 25.2°C at Shiba around midday, have locked in trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C maximum on April 8, as the day concludes without further warming. Persistent cloud cover and intermittent showers—triggered by a moist southerly flow and heavy rain alerts for northern Taiwan—suppressed solar insolation, capping the diurnal temperature rise well below pre-dawn model forecasts of 28–32°C from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. April climatology supports this, with rainy days in Taipei averaging highs near 24°C versus 26–27°C under clearer skies. Scenarios challenging this would require a late unreported spike at a peripheral station exceeding 25.5°C, but post-sunset data releases affirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,778结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei stations, including a peak of 25.2°C at Shiba around midday, have locked in trader consensus at 100% for a 25°C maximum on April 8, as the day concludes without further warming. Persistent cloud cover and intermittent showers—triggered by a moist southerly flow and heavy rain alerts for northern Taiwan—suppressed solar insolation, capping the diurnal temperature rise well below pre-dawn model forecasts of 28–32°C from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. April climatology supports this, with rainy days in Taipei averaging highs near 24°C versus 26–27°C under clearer skies. Scenarios challenging this would require a late unreported spike at a peripheral station exceeding 25.5°C, but post-sunset data releases affirm the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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