Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project highs of 56-58°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 8, closely matching the 58°F climatological normal and concentrating trader consensus in the 56-59°F bins with 70.5% implied probability. Persistent Puget Sound marine inflow caps warming via cool boundary layer air, while discrepancies in forecast cloud cover—stratiform decks versus diurnal breaks—and northerly wind mixing differentiate the razor-thin 56-57°F (30.5%) edge over 58-59°F (27.0%). Ensemble spreads of 3-4°F underscore inherent short-range uncertainty amid transitioning ridging aloft. Key updates from 12z model runs and NWS discussions expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 8?
58-59°F 30%
56-57°F 30%
54-55°F 18%
60-61°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
4%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
5%
64°F or higher
4%
58-59°F 30%
56-57°F 30%
54-55°F 18%
60-61°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
45°F or below
$550 交易量
1%
46-47°F
$650 交易量
1%
48-49°F
$27 交易量
2%
50-51°F
$44 交易量
4%
52-53°F
$52 交易量
7%
54-55°F
$96 交易量
18%
56-57°F
$288 交易量
30%
58-59°F
$171 交易量
30%
60-61°F
$126 交易量
20%
62-63°F
$69 交易量
5%
64°F or higher
$200 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project highs of 56-58°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 8, closely matching the 58°F climatological normal and concentrating trader consensus in the 56-59°F bins with 70.5% implied probability. Persistent Puget Sound marine inflow caps warming via cool boundary layer air, while discrepancies in forecast cloud cover—stratiform decks versus diurnal breaks—and northerly wind mixing differentiate the razor-thin 56-57°F (30.5%) edge over 58-59°F (27.0%). Ensemble spreads of 3-4°F underscore inherent short-range uncertainty amid transitioning ridging aloft. Key updates from 12z model runs and NWS discussions expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$2,188结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project highs of 56-58°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 8, closely matching the 58°F climatological normal and concentrating trader consensus in the 56-59°F bins with 70.5% implied probability. Persistent Puget Sound marine inflow caps warming via cool boundary layer air, while discrepancies in forecast cloud cover—stratiform decks versus diurnal breaks—and northerly wind mixing differentiate the razor-thin 56-57°F (30.5%) edge over 58-59°F (27.0%). Ensemble spreads of 3-4°F underscore inherent short-range uncertainty amid transitioning ridging aloft. Key updates from 12z model runs and NWS discussions expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,188结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models project highs of 56-58°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 8, closely matching the 58°F climatological normal and concentrating trader consensus in the 56-59°F bins with 70.5% implied probability. Persistent Puget Sound marine inflow caps warming via cool boundary layer air, while discrepancies in forecast cloud cover—stratiform decks versus diurnal breaks—and northerly wind mixing differentiate the razor-thin 56-57°F (30.5%) edge over 58-59°F (27.0%). Ensemble spreads of 3-4°F underscore inherent short-range uncertainty amid transitioning ridging aloft. Key updates from 12z model runs and NWS discussions expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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