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选举·House Primary

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
选举·House Primary

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Kingston 50%

Brian Montgomery 37%

Patrick Farrell 36%

Eugene Yu 35%

Polymarket
NEW

James Kingston 50%

Brian Montgomery 37%

Patrick Farrell 36%

Eugene Yu 35%

Polymarket
NEW

James Kingston

$0 交易量

50%

Brian Montgomery

$0 交易量

37%

Patrick Farrell

$0 交易量

36%

Eugene Yu

$0 交易量

35%

Kandiss Taylor

$3,860 交易量

10%

Krista Penn

$114 交易量

35%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in Georgia's 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—over $1.6 million raised per recent FEC filings—far outpacing rivals, bolstered by family name recognition as son of former longtime Rep. Jack Kingston and a $53,000 ad buy from Georgia First Action PAC on March 26. The March 6 qualifying deadline locked in a crowded six-way field for the May 19 open-seat contest after incumbent Buddy Carter's departure, fragmenting votes and keeping Patrick Farrell (37%), Brian Montgomery (36%), Eugene Yu (34%), and Krista Penn (33.5%) viable via local commissioner experience, West Point combat veteran status, and Navy healthcare executive backgrounds, respectively. Kandiss Taylor trails at 11% on residual name ID from past runs. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on plurality dynamics and upcoming forums in coastal swing areas.

James Kingston leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in Georgia's 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—over $1.6 million raised per recent FEC filings—far outpacing rivals, bolstered by family name recognition as son of former longtime Rep. Jack Kingston and a $53,000 ad buy from Georgia First Action PAC on March 26. The March 6 qualifying deadline locked in a crowded six-way field for the May 19 open-seat contest after incumbent Buddy Carter's departure, fragmenting votes and keeping Patrick Farrell (37%), Brian Montgomery (36%), Eugene Yu (34%), and Krista Penn (33.5%) viable via local commissioner experience, West Point combat veteran status, and Navy healthcare executive backgrounds, respectively. Kandiss Taylor trails at 11% on residual name ID from past runs. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on plurality dynamics and upcoming forums in coastal swing areas.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in Georgia's 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—over $1.6 million raised per recent FEC filings—far outpacing rivals, bolstered by family name recognition as son of former longtime Rep. Jack Kingston and a $53,000 ad buy from Georgia First Action PAC on March 26. The March 6 qualifying deadline locked in a crowded six-way field for the May 19 open-seat contest after incumbent Buddy Carter's departure, fragmenting votes and keeping Patrick Farrell (37%), Brian Montgomery (36%), Eugene Yu (34%), and Krista Penn (33.5%) viable via local commissioner experience, West Point combat veteran status, and Navy healthcare executive backgrounds, respectively. Kandiss Taylor trails at 11% on residual name ID from past runs. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on plurality dynamics and upcoming forums in coastal swing areas.

James Kingston leads trader consensus at 50% implied probability in Georgia's 1st Congressional District Republican primary due to his dominant fundraising—over $1.6 million raised per recent FEC filings—far outpacing rivals, bolstered by family name recognition as son of former longtime Rep. Jack Kingston and a $53,000 ad buy from Georgia First Action PAC on March 26. The March 6 qualifying deadline locked in a crowded six-way field for the May 19 open-seat contest after incumbent Buddy Carter's departure, fragmenting votes and keeping Patrick Farrell (37%), Brian Montgomery (36%), Eugene Yu (34%), and Krista Penn (33.5%) viable via local commissioner experience, West Point combat veteran status, and Navy healthcare executive backgrounds, respectively. Kandiss Taylor trails at 11% on residual name ID from past runs. Absent public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on plurality dynamics and upcoming forums in coastal swing areas.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"James Kingston"，概率为 50%，其次是"Brian Montgomery"，概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 20, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"James Kingston"，概率为 50%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。紧随其后的结果是"Brian Montgomery"，概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"GA-01 Republican Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。