The CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance reported a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population for Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026)—the third highest at this stage since 2010-11—with weekly admissions dropping to 1.1 per 100k amid nationally declining flu activity, including outpatient visits at 2.9% (below baseline). FluSight ensemble models forecast minimal Week 12 additions of 0.93 new admissions per 100k (95% prediction interval: 0.29–2.19), projecting a final cumulative around 82.5 that aligns traders' overwhelming 95.5% consensus on the 80–85 bracket. This reflects epidemiological trends of waning seasonal transmission dominated by influenza A. Realistic challenges include upward data revisions from reporting lags or a late surge, though subdued hospital admissions (5,640 last week) make shifts outside 80–85 improbable; await the Week 12 FluView report next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
80–85 96%
85–90 1.0%
90–95 <1%
75–80 <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
<75
<1%
75–80
1%
80–85
96%
85–90
1%
90–95
1%
95以上
<1%
80–85 96%
85–90 1.0%
90–95 <1%
75–80 <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
<75
$444 交易量
<1%
75–80
$533 交易量
1%
80–85
$3,608 交易量
96%
85–90
$302 交易量
1%
90–95
$3,798 交易量
1%
95以上
$293 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance reported a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population for Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026)—the third highest at this stage since 2010-11—with weekly admissions dropping to 1.1 per 100k amid nationally declining flu activity, including outpatient visits at 2.9% (below baseline). FluSight ensemble models forecast minimal Week 12 additions of 0.93 new admissions per 100k (95% prediction interval: 0.29–2.19), projecting a final cumulative around 82.5 that aligns traders' overwhelming 95.5% consensus on the 80–85 bracket. This reflects epidemiological trends of waning seasonal transmission dominated by influenza A. Realistic challenges include upward data revisions from reporting lags or a late surge, though subdued hospital admissions (5,640 last week) make shifts outside 80–85 improbable; await the Week 12 FluView report next week.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
交易量
$8,978结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance reported a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population for Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026)—the third highest at this stage since 2010-11—with weekly admissions dropping to 1.1 per 100k amid nationally declining flu activity, including outpatient visits at 2.9% (below baseline). FluSight ensemble models forecast minimal Week 12 additions of 0.93 new admissions per 100k (95% prediction interval: 0.29–2.19), projecting a final cumulative around 82.5 that aligns traders' overwhelming 95.5% consensus on the 80–85 bracket. This reflects epidemiological trends of waning seasonal transmission dominated by influenza A. Realistic challenges include upward data revisions from reporting lags or a late surge, though subdued hospital admissions (5,640 last week) make shifts outside 80–85 improbable; await the Week 12 FluView report next week.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$8,978结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance reported a preliminary cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population for Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026)—the third highest at this stage since 2010-11—with weekly admissions dropping to 1.1 per 100k amid nationally declining flu activity, including outpatient visits at 2.9% (below baseline). FluSight ensemble models forecast minimal Week 12 additions of 0.93 new admissions per 100k (95% prediction interval: 0.29–2.19), projecting a final cumulative around 82.5 that aligns traders' overwhelming 95.5% consensus on the 80–85 bracket. This reflects epidemiological trends of waning seasonal transmission dominated by influenza A. Realistic challenges include upward data revisions from reporting lags or a late surge, though subdued hospital admissions (5,640 last week) make shifts outside 80–85 improbable; await the Week 12 FluView report next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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